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13 Contrarian Economic Predictions For 201713 Contrarian Economic Predictions For 2017

Many of these involved Donald Trump.

Seeking Alpha

January 13, 2017

1 Min Read
Donald Trump flag
Copyright Drew Angerer, Getty Images

Everyone likes to compile lists of predictions for the new year.

I don't.

Did you ever notice that when you look at all the failed predictions in any given December, what ended up happening was the opposite of what everyone predicted?

Given that most predictions end up being wrong, why not just take a look at what passes for conventional wisdom and do the opposite?

Warning: many of these involve Trump.

  1. Trump is going to nuke somebody in 2017

It is true that Trump wants to increase, rather than decrease, our nuclear capabilities, which runs pretty much counter to anybody's idea of what constitutes peaceful behavior in 2017.

The interesting thing about the nuclear threat is that as the popular perception of it has waned since the Cold War, the actual nuclear threat has increased as the number of nuclear weapons has declined.

What if the opposite happens - what…

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