The city’s experienced the highest rent growth than any other major office market, at 30 percent, to almost $67 per sq. ft., and this increase, mostly driven by the South Financial District and South of Market (SoMa), has been pushing tenants into the smaller markets across the bay such as Oakland, Emeryville, Berkeley and Alameda, Calif.. Technology firms dominate activity, accounting for almost 90 percent of leasing, according to JLL. The city has absorbed more than 1.5 million sq. ft. of office space this year already. There are about five million sq. ft. of new space in the pipeline, but more than half of it is pre-leased to firms including Dropbox, Linkedin and Apple.
Havsy says he forecasts rising vacancy for San Francisco, with rents peaking later this year and then starting to fall in 2016 as more supply comes on-line. “The fact that there’s going to be a pause is a healthy thing, as the pace just isn’t sustainable, it’s just getting overheated,” he says. “A little bit of supply is good. We expect vacancy to get closer to 9.0 percent as new supply delivers.”