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The Long and Winding RoadThe Long and Winding Road
Members of the Trusts & Estates Investment Committee held their annual meeting to discuss significant developments in 2015 and how the market will play out in 2016. Participating were Edward J. Finley II, Elizabeth K. Miller, Andrew M. Parker and Gregory D. Singer. Here are their thoughts
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Domestically, the recovery of the U.S. economy has been treading along at an unenthusiastic pace in 2015. Across the globe, conditions in Europe and Japan remain largely unaltered as well, with weak external and domestic demand in Japan and a slight pick up in money and credit growth in Europe. Macroeconomic developments, such as the drop in commodity prices and the appreciation of the U.S. dollar, have been the driving forces behind the tepid U.S. growth and inflation. The committee questions whether the corporate profit peak that hit in late spring-early June is indicative of an inevitable recession in the coming year or two. On a global scale, there’s also a question of whether there’s a growing risk of global secular stagnation with ...
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