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Uncertainty Continues to Reign SupremeUncertainty Continues to Reign Supreme
Members of the Trusts & Estates Investment Committee had their annual meeting to discuss the significant developments in 2012 and how the market will play out. Participating were Edward J. Finley II, Elizabeth K. Miller, Andrew M. Parker and Gregory D. Singer. Here are their thoughts
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In this column last January, when asked to sum up the year in investing in one word, we decided on “uncertainty.” Given the same task this year, with the “fiscal cliff” still looming as of this writing and the outlook for the Euro remaining uncertain, we would have to choose the same term. However, while the one-year outlook remains questionable, the long-term view has come into clearer focus.
The Fiscal Cliff
Much of our current uncertainty is self-inflicted and stems from political jockeying on strategies to reduce the debt and deficit. Under the tax law as written, tax increases and spending cuts would subtract about 4 percent from gross domestic product growth in 2013, which is currently running at about a 2 percent trend. What we do...
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