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Each year, we ring out the old with resolutions for the new. If only the global economy followed the same rule.
Unfortunately for investors, 2018 has provided no resolutions to the recurring concerns of the global economy: namely uneven global growth, Federal Reserve tightening and trade tensions. Investors instead are left attempting to predict when this economic cycle will end and whether there’s anywhere to hide.
While our consensus is that economic fundamentals support another 12-to-18 months of economic growth in the United States, markets might pre-empt that growth and accelerate the inevitable slowdown. Growth outside the United States is even less certain, with significant diversity across regions. Developed markets are facing the ...
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