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As we begin a new year, one very old but important lesson is worth remembering. While consensus investment views are often correct, the strategies used to implement such views may fall short. During 2006, it was widely believed that inflation would rear its ugly head. From December 2003 through December 2005, the price of oil rose from just below $33 to more than $60 per barrel, and although a broader
Andrew Parker, managing director and head of Quantitative Strategies Group, Bessemer Trust, New York
As we begin a new year, one very old but important lesson is worth remembering. While consensus investment views are often correct, the strategies used to implement such views may fall short.
During 2006, it was widely believed that inflation would rear its ugly head. From December 2003 through December 2005, the price of oil rose from just below $33 to more than $60 per barrel, and although a broader indication of inflation had not yet appeared in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), it was thought that increased energy costs would filter through the economy and push prices up. Certainly, the Federal Reserve saw this risk and responded by incre...
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