We don’t look at individual alternatives as a singular strategy or a singular suggestion. We think of alternatives from a portfolio context, no different than when we think about building traditional portfolios and piecing together growth and values. It’s always about the portfolio and it’s always about what objective the investor is trying to solve for.
If the investor is targeting return enhancement, that naturally lends itself more toward things like private equity. If it’s more about yield generation, it’s alternative income. Price stability—real assets. Lower volatility—hedge funds. We are always starting from that framework, and within each one of those four categories, there are always attractive solutions within each.
I’ll start with private equity because we are believers that private equity is one of the better ways to enhance risk-adjusted returns over the long run. But we need to pay attention to market dynamics and know where and how to build the optimal portfolio. We happen to like small and middle-market leveraged buyouts. That’s a category that we target consistently—there are numbers to back it up. There are thousands fewer public companies today relative to the late 1990s. And there are fewer funds going after those smaller companies. You have a natural mismatch, so [we like] private equity that focuses on that space, companies with revenue less than $100 million. They are a huge opportunity and [there are many] companies to go after. That is a sweet spot for us that we like.
When considering building an alternative enhancement portfolio, we generally like to shop on the more conservative side of that. If you limit the multiples that you pay, it naturally limits the downside risk inherent in some of these investments. We’ve gained a lot of traction and advisors have really bought into this concept because it’s a way to capture an inefficient portion of the ever-growing private equity landscape more conservatively.
If I could go further within private equity, there are still other good opportunities today. Secondaries are attractive, but it depends on which manager you are working with. We are looking for managers with a proven track record of not just investing in secondaries, but opportunistically investing in secondaries. What we’ve observed over the last couple of years is that 2023 will turn out to be a positive year for bonds. But the first half of 2023 was negative for bonds. Because of that, a lot of institutions like pensions sold a lot of bonds in 2023. They naturally saw the portion of their portfolio that was in bonds lose value and they were over their amount of private equity for their allocations. So, they were in a sense forced sellers through the middle of last year and that created good opportunities in the secondaries market.
We also like, while building our portfolios, venture and the growth side. It was a rough couple of years for venture capital. We saw some meaningful price adjustments. If you were in 2021, 2022, you might have seen some markdowns. But what we’ve also seen is there are some more attractive entry points for new rounds of venture today. That is one area we’ve been where there are some opportunities, but we are certainly allocating smaller amounts to venture than we are to things like small and medium buyouts.
One of the most popular areas in alternatives has been direct lending. Private credit continues to grow considerably. The private direct credit market is almost the same size as the junk bond market at this point. What we’ve observed, just like in private equity, we saw massive adjustments, companies going from public to private. We are seeing the same thing in the debt market. We think we are still in the relatively early innings of this evolution toward more private credit. There are a lot of opportunities out there as banks have gone out of business. Historically, we’ve seen small and middle-market companies utilize direct lending. What we are now seeing is that even large cap companies are using direct lending over syndicated loans. And what that means is that investors have access to higher quality, first lien, senior debt with covenants, with a spread. It creates really attractive terms and it’s done quite well. On the downside, this area is getting relatively crowded, so you need to be careful with the managers you are using and some of the older debt out there, and you also have to be mindful that a lot of this debt is tied to SOFR, which is floating rate. So, while it benefitted the loans over the last couple of years as rates have risen, we could see the reverse if and when rates go down. But we still like the space, we think it’s a great way to diversify an alternative income allocation further.
If someone says I want to diversify my income bucket, we like to spread that out across income-generating strategies, diversification strategies, as well as even some equity strategies, just as a way to diversify your source of the yield so the lower correlation across those asset classes will help protect the investors on an ongoing basis. So, we like direct lending, we think it has the potential to perform well across all periods of the economic cycle and we like that it’s higher quality across the capital structure.
If I could throw out one other area we like that has been a bit out of favor lately: core real estate. When we talk about core, we differentiate it from opportunistic or value-add. We are talking about lower leverage properties that are fully occupied or close to fully occupied, need little enhancement, they are in their mature income-generating stage. This segment of the commercial real estate industry has experienced notable drawdowns over the last 12 to 15 months as interest rates have been on the rise. There’s definitely an inverse relationship there. However, we think with the notion that we are heading toward a period of [more stable] rates, the vast majority of those markdowns are behind us and investors can get in at a very attractive entry point. The overall return is in the high single digits, most of which is coming from an income stream and most of that income stream often has tax advantages. It really is an interesting area that’s been out of favor, and some might find a little boring because it doesn’t offer yields in the teens. But we like those areas of the market that produce very stable returns that have lower leverage and they form a good core of the portfolio.